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Archive for ‘Economic development’

Donations? Need an invoice? – Are blogs a viable way to earn a living in a knowledge economy?

Internet publishing and sharing knowledge in an open source way is just a different way of turning knowledge into money. It is an alternative to obtaining a conventional job and selling time by the hour. Income may be earned by using knowledge to attract traffic, and hoping that that users click on “contextual ads”, make donations or request services. We all need to earn an income so that we may live, work, play and have children. Marcuscake.com is an experiment to see how much revenue can be earned from sharing knowledge over the internet. Any proceeds will be put into my daughters bank account.

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Are offshore stock exchanges becoming more competitive in the internet era?

The internet would appear to facilitate greater participation in the “listed company” market by the offshore stock exchanges. Offshore centres can list companies at a fraction of the cost of onshore exchanges. Onshore equity markets are expensive and can only be used by large companies. Does the current standard of compliance and regulation mean that small companies can not get capital for growth so that they become large? What does society gain from ensuring effective capital allocation to early stage companies? In the internet era, the offshore stock exchange may ultimately have a greater role.

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Offshore: What? Who? How? Where? Why? Onshore reaction? Tax competition? Pitfalls? The collapse of income tax systems?

Approximately, 33-40% of the worlds financial assets and 50% of financial market transactions occur in offshore jurisdictions. In recent years, onshore countries have collaborated to stamp out “harmful tax competition”. The offshore jurisdictions are, and will remain, a critical part of the financial system. The internet and standardisation of offshore “products” has made offshore accessible to all. The onshore economies may continue “enforce” existing laws which seek to tax residents on world wide income. They may engage in “tax competition” or restructure misunderstood and unworkable tax systems. Whatever happens, the internet is likely to play a significant role in facilitating change.

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Crash 2.0: an early chapter in the .NET boom?

Web 2.0 was a phrase to describe new web companies that emerged over the last year. I could not understand how many of them were going to make money. Crash 2.0 may become the reference to the failure of these companies over the coming year. Companies will always fail as a result of poor execution. Investors that fund companies with bad ideas, non-existant revenue strategies or in unattractive markets may also fail. It is all part of the capitalist system which ultimately moves capital from those that pick losers, to those that can pick winners. The coming .NET, or Nextnet, boom is likely to based upon greater substance than the .COM boom. Crash 2.0 may be one of the early chapters in the .NET boom, or could it be the final chapter?

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Internet advertising revenue rises 38%

‘The Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) today announced that Internet advertising revenues reached a new record of $3.9 billion for the first quarter of 2006. The 2006 first quarter revenues represent a 38 percent increase over Q1 2005 at $2.8 billion and a 6 percent increase over Q4 2005 total at $3.6 billion. These are key indicators of the growing acceptance of the internet by consumers and business.’

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The NextNet and 25 profiles of ‘topical’ internet companies

Business 2.0 published an interesting article which profiles 25 internet companies “whose approaches help illuminate where the Web is headed and where the opportunities lie”.

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Primal drives, financial markets and ‘The Planet of the Apes’

I recently read a series of articles by Paul B. Farrell at Marketwatch.com . I will extract a paragraph from each article to encourage you to read them. “The Planet of the Apes is a perfect metaphor for the way America’s 95 million investors are being psychologically manipulated and controlled by a small cartel of less than one million people in and around Wall Street. For both that 95 million and the one million the stakes are huge, because $8.6 trillion is invested in mutual funds alone.” “Research from critics like Vanguard’s Jack Bogle have longed warn that Wall Street and the financial-services industry are “skimming” one-third off the top of investors returns, substantially reducing your retirement assets. Some critics like Boston research firm Dalbar go further: Most investors make less than inflation, but are clueless because they’re brainwashed to think otherwise.”

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Did you Digg the recent Yahoo analyst briefing? Is this the beginning of community based investment analysis?

Could an online social network undertake investment analysis. Perhaps, a company or freelancer could prepare an equity research report. This report could serve as the foundation for analysis by an online social report in the same way that just occured on Digg. The tools could be extended further to include Wiki’s so that the report could also be prepared by the community using an open source approach.

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Stock exchanges: large exchanges in decline?, niche exchanges growing

During the period ending 31st March 2006, the market capitalisation of stock exchanges in the America’s, Asia Pacific and Europe grew 15.3%, 36.2% and 23.3% resepctively. This was driven by increasing valuations of listed companies, but was also influenced by changes in the number of companies. There were changes in the number of companies:- The America’s decreased 0.5%, Asia Pacific increased 2.5% and Europe increased 3.5%. Despite strong equity markets, there was a decline in the number of companies listed in key markets and specific exchanges that implemented niche strategies experienced growth.

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Promoting access to primary equity markets: a legal and regulatory perspective from the World Bank

On the 1st April 2006, the World Bank released a policy paper titled "Promoting access to primary equity markets : a legal and regulatory approach". The report is available from here. "Abstract: This paper examines legal and regulatory measures that can be taken to promote access to the primary market in emerging market economies. While capital market development depends on many factors including, primarily, a favorable macroeconomic environment, an appropriately designed and effective legal and regulatory framework can help to encourage market growth and to increase access to finance for all companies, including small- and medium-sized enterprises. In this paper we identify the basic necessities that underpin a regulatory regime that ... Read More

 

Has the .NET technology boom begun? And consumers may be willing to pay for content

With high broadband penetration to empower consumers, open software to empower entrepreneurs, we may be on the verge of the .NET technology boom. The .NET technology boom is likely to be different from the .COM boom. Investment capital is likely to be allocated more efficiently and less investment capital will achieve quality outcomes.

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Financial markets are about to enter a transformational phase

“Power will shift from the traders who have benefited from merely facilitating transactions to the buyers and sellers who take positions on either end of the trade, and that which is most highly prized in financial markets – the ability to create value – is likely to experience a renaissance as transformational as anything the industry has ever witnessed.” – IBM report. The opportunity for online social networks in financial markets is becoming clear.

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The rise of online social networks? Wny now? Which industries?

Online social networks will drive a significant lift in productivity over the next decade. The internet will be essential to coordinating these networks. Online social networks are likely to be more efficient at manufacturing and distributing information. Consumers may be offered more convenient means to purchase, at lower cost using open source philosophies that may deliver greater customer satisfaction. Government can allow people to benefit from economic development, although some industries may perish or need to evolve in the short term.

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Will the people asphyxiate on the information superhighway? Will we be forced to travel by canal?

Existing industries have billions of dollars of historical investment, hundreds of years of history and employ of tens of thousands of people. These industries are being challenged by more innovative players that apply new business models to reduce costs. Challenges to the introduction of the railroad included “Rail travel at high speed is not possible, because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia.” This article offers a brief insight into the emerging responses of industry and their efforts to lobby government. Will government “asphyxiate” the people on the information superhighway? Will we be forced to travel by canal? Will we be forced to use the telephone?

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Moores Law: Will you be able to run a bank from your laptop in Starbucks on a desert island?

Moore’s Law is forecast to continue. If the rate of improvement continues, technology will be 128 times more powerful in ten years, and over 4,000 times more powerful in 15 years. Will it be possible for a single laptop capture, store, process and transmit information for entire industries? Could a single laptop replace the global music industry, a stock exchange or provide voice calls for the world? There are billions of dollars of historical investment, hundreds of years of history and tens of thousands of people being challenged by new companies. Starbucks may have enough bandwidth to run a bank, but you probably would not want to live there 24 hours a day, seven days a week, 365 days a year.

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Taking Stock of the World’s Capital markets: McKinsey Global Institute

The McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) examined the financial assets of more than 100 countries since 1980. The result is a comprehensive profile of the global capital market (GCM) and an in-depth analysis of its evolution across geographies and asset classes.

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Smartcity@Malta from the people that bought you Dubai Internet City

The Government of Malta has announced framework discussions with Tecom Investments of Dubai on the setting up a new ‘SmartCity@Malta’. The Government of Malta has agreed to invest the land into the project whilst Tecom is expected to undertake an investment of approximately US$300 million over the coming 8 years. The first deliverables from this project are expected by 2008. This is a very exciting development. It may establish a cluster of IT companies in the EU, just like Dubai Internet City has done for the Middle East. It is also a visible sign to Middle East economies to establish new sectors and reduce their dependence on dwindling oil reserves.

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Will the open source model of software development transform other industries?

The Open Source model of building software harnesses the collective knowledge of a group of volunteers to build complex software. Over the next few years, collective knowledge networks like the open source movement will move beyond developing open source software, to manufacturing and distributing products products and services in other industries.

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Offshore financial centres were never worthy of their reputation as havens of criminal activity

Offshore financial centres had a reputation for being havens of criminal activity. The following five year old articles show this reputation is undeserved.They suggest that the “persecution of tax havens is not the fight against money laundering but the fight against low taxes”. The persecution of “tax havens” was simply an instrument of the nation state to protect domestic tax revenues from foreign tax competition.

Today, the majority of financial centres are well regulated and well respected. The also offer companies and investors the opportunity to reduce compliance costs and take advantage of countries dedicated to servicing their needs. Some countries are focussed on attracting a specific type of company. They enact legislation that is necessary to provide a respectable base for specific types of business. For example, the Isle of Man is focussed upon attracting EBusiness. These smaller financial centres are likely to be significant beneficiaries of the globalisation of financial markets. Business owners and entrepreneurs may choose to incorporate in these centres and derive significant benefits. They will need to pay taxes on any foreign income they derive or is attributed to them by their tax laws. The majority of financial centres are havens for business, rather than a means to reduce taxes.

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Peak leadership: the demand for leadership is growing rapidly and supply is declining

The primary function of our political leadership is to safeguard the essentials of our community – our global community. There is action that can be taken on key issues of oil, food, water, climate change, national insolvency and retirement of the baby boomers. There is just enough time for action. The resources are available for most of the pressing issues. However, precious public funds are spent on more interesting ambitions, rather than the fundamentals. If questioned, more complex issues are introduced to defer the need to make difficult, but simple, decisions. The world confronts key challenges. Action on fundamental issues seem to be perpetually deferred until after the next election. Ambitions receive priority. The demand for leadership is growing rapidly. The supply of leadership is in declining. Perhaps, the law of diminishing returns applies to our political leadership.

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Update: A Technology boom through to 2010

Author HS Dent provides an update on the status of the potential technology boom through to 2010.

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A technology boom through to 2010

Author Harry S Dent suggests “Large and small cap growth stocks, especially technology, are going to take the stage again and lead the next bubble driven by the second stage, or maturity boom, of the S-Curve technology cycle in Internet, wireless, broadband and digital devices. “

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Ebay aquires Skype at a high valuation: Is this the start of a technology boom?

I am sure that you have heard about the acqusition of Skype by EBay. There is extensive commentary on the internet and I do not plan to reproduce that content here. I would like to highlight the valuation paid for this company. Is this the start of a technology boom?

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